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FIFA World Cup 2014 in Brazil

During the FIFA World Cup 2014, this site displays the probabilities of each national team to win its group, to qualify for the round of 16/the quarter-finals/the semi-finals/the final, and to win the FIFA World Cup.
Note that such probabilities change with each single match played. The figures on this page will be updated on a more or less regular basis.


Group A, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. Brazil       3     2    1    0     7: 2     7     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%      100.0%       0.0%       0.0%

2. Mexico       3     2    1    0     4: 1     7       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Croatia      3     1    0    2     6: 6     3       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. Cameroon     3     0    0    3     1: 9     0       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

Group B, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. Netherlands  3     3    0    0    10: 3     9     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%      100.0%       0.0%       0.0%

2. Chile        3     2    0    1     5: 3     6       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Spain        3     1    0    2     4: 7     3       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. Australia    3     0    0    3     3: 9     0       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

Group C, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. Colombia     3     3    0    0     9: 2     9     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

2. Greece       3     1    1    1     2: 4     4       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Ivory Coast  3     1    0    2     4: 5     3       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. Japan        3     0    1    2     2: 6     1       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

Group D, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. Costa Rica   3     2    1    0     4: 1     7     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

2. Uruguay      3     2    0    1     4: 4     6       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Italy        3     1    0    2     2: 3     3       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. England      3     0    1    2     2: 4     1       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

Group E, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. France       3     2    1    0     8: 2     7     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

2. Switzerland  3     2    0    1     7: 6     6       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Ecuador      3     1    1    1     3: 3     4       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. Honduras     3     0    0    3     1: 8     0       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

Group F, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. Argentina    3     3    0    0     6: 3     9     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%      100.0%     100.0%      43.7%

2. Nigeria      3     1    1    1     3: 3     4       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Bosnia/Herz. 3     1    0    2     4: 4     3       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. Iran         3     0    1    2     1: 4     1       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

Group G, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. Germany      3     2    1    0     7: 2     7     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%      100.0%     100.0%      56.3%

2. USA          3     1    1    1     4: 4     4       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Portugal     3     1    1    1     4: 7     4       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. Ghana        3     0    1    2     4: 6     1       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

Group H, ranking list (10 July 2014):

             matches  w    d    l    goals points group winner round of 16  1/4 finals  1/2 finals   final  world champion

1. Belgium      3     3    0    0     4: 1     9     100.0%      100.0%      100.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

2. Algeria      3     1    1    1     6: 5     4       0.0%      100.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

3. Russia       3     0    2    1     2: 3     2       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

4. South Korea  3     0    1    2     3: 6     1       0.0%        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%       0.0%       0.0%

    

How to read these figures. Germany is the favourite for winning this tournament. Germany has a chance of 56.3 percent to win the FIFA World Cup 2014.

© Roger Kaufmann 1990/2014  [please do not ignore this!]
The above probabilities were calculated with the software DSA (Dynamic Sports Analysis), developed by the mathematician Roger Kaufmann.
Site Meter Last Update: 10 July 2014.